Food Policy | 樊鹏飞 等：中国新的农业补贴政策对粮食作物种植面积的影响

Fan, Pengfei, Ashok K. Mishra, Shuyi Feng, Min Su, and Stefan Hirsch. "The impact of China’s new agricultural subsidy policy on grain crop acreage." Food Policy，2023，118: 102472.

全文链接：

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2023.102472

摘要：由于中国是世界上最大的农产品生产国、进口国和消费国，新农业补贴政策的实施对全球农业市场有重要影响。通过利用中国农村家庭的追踪调查数据（CRHPS）进行双重差分估计，评估新农业补贴政策对粮食作物种植面积的影响。结果表明，补贴政策增加了粮食作物种植面积。即使控制了其他政策影响后，结果依然稳健。机制分析进一步发现，补贴政策通过鼓励经营者租用更多土地和增加粮食种植比重来增加他们的粮食作物种植面积。异质性分析还发现，补贴政策对粮食作物种植者的影响比对混合作物种植者的影响更积极，但它对大型农场（>100亩）没有影响，而对中国北方地区的经营者影响更大。我们的研究对于理解中国新农业补贴政策和农业市场化改革效果有积极意义。

第一作者简介：

樊鹏飞，男，河南焦作人，南京农业大学公共管理学院博士研究生，美国亚利桑那州立大学联合培养博士生，美国经济学会(AEA)会员及农业与应用经济学会(AAEA)会员，研究领域包括土地经济与政策、农业资源与可持续发展、城市经济等，师从冯淑怡教授。

Abstract:

As China is the world’s largest producer, importer, and consumer of agricultural products, the new agricultural subsidy policy has significant implications for the global agricultural market. We assess the impact of the new agricultural subsidy on the grain crops acreage by applying difference-in-difference estimation to the China Rural Household Panel Survey (CRHPS) data. Results indicate that the new agricultural subsidy increases grain crop acreage. The results remain robust even after controlling for the effects from other policy measures. The study also identified the mechanism behind the subsidy’s effect. Namely, the new program encourages operators to increase their grain crop acreage by renting more land and increasing the share of grain crops grown. Regarding heterogeneity of the results, the subsidy policy has a more positive impact on grain crop growers than on mixed crop growers, it does not affect large farms (>100 Mu) and its influence is greater among operators in the Northern regions of China. Our findings are relevant for understanding the effect of China’s new agricultural subsidy policies and agrarian market reforms.

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