区域数字经济规模测算及其对区域创新的影响
苏屹1，支鹏飞1，郭秀芳2
（1.哈尔滨工程大学 经济管理学院，黑龙江 哈尔滨150001；
2.哈尔滨开放大学 人文教学部，黑龙江 哈尔滨150001）
摘要：近年来，数字经济飞速发展，逐渐成为影响区域创新能力的关键因素。本文基于现有研究的数字经济规模核算框架，界定了区域数字经济的核算范围和相关产业，从数字化赋权基础设施、数字化媒体、数字化交易、数字经济交易产品四个维度系统测算了中国31个省份2007—2020年数字经济增加值，在此基础上，通过构建双向固定效应模型和门槛模型，实证检验了数字经济发展对区域创新能力的驱动作用及影响规律。结果表明：中国区域数字经济规模总体呈上升趋势并且存在明显的地区差异，数字经济产业结构不够均衡；数字经济发展能够显著驱动区域创新能力的提升，并呈现先边际效应递减后边际效应递增的非线性特征规律。最后，本文从优化数字经济产业结构、实施区域数字经济差异化发展战略、创新人力和创新资本高质量投入三个方面给出了相应的对策建议。本文弥补了现有研究对于我国区域层面数字经济发展规模测算的缺乏与不足，在此基础上，首次从数字经济规模的视角探究了数字经济对于区域创新能力的驱动作用和影响规律，丰富了相关创新理论的研究，也对了解我国区域数字经济发展情况，推动数字经济高质量发展具有一定实际意义。
：数字经济；发展规模；区域创新；门槛模型
主要研究结论：本文从数字经济发展规模的视角，对中国31个省份数字经济产业增加值进行了系统测算，实证检验了数字经济对于区域创新能力的驱动作用及影响规律，研究发现：（1）中国各省份数字经济增加值均表现出逐年上升的趋势，且增长速度不断加快，同时，区域数字经济在发展规模上呈明显的地区差异，我国东部地区数字经济发展规模显著大于中西部地区；（2）中国区域数字经济产业结构不够均衡，虽然数字化媒体和数字化交易增加值占数字经济增加值的比重在不断上升，但数字化赋权基础设施增加值仍是各地数字经济的主要贡献部分；（3）数字经济能够显著促进区域创新能力的提升，已经成为区域创新的重要驱动因素，并且在一定程度上改变了以往创新要素对于创新能力的影响规律；（4）数字经济对区域创新能力具有显著的非线性差异化影响，并且存在两个数字经济发展规模门槛，随着数字经济规模的不断增长，数字经济对区域创新能力的促进作用表现出先边际效应递减后边际效应递增的非线性规律特征。
Measurement of the scale of regional digital economy and its impact on regional innovation
Su Yi1, Zhi Pengfei1, Guo Xiufang2
(1. School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, Heilongjiang, China;
2. Humanities Teaching Department, Open University of Harbin, Harbin 150001, Heilongjiang, China)
Abstract:In recent years, the digital economy has developed rapidly and it is becoming an important contributor to China′s national economy and a new driving force for its economic growth. At the same time, the digital economy can accelerate the flow of various innovative resources and factors. Due to the characteristics of digital technology, there have been various changes in product innovation, process innovation, organizational innovation, and business model innovation. The digital economy has gradually become a key factor affecting regional innovation capacity.
Based on the existing research on the measurement framework of the digital economy, this paper clarified the connotation of the regional digital economy, defined the accounting scope and related industries of the regional digital economy. This paper systematically calculated the digital economy added value of 31 provincial-level regions in China from 2007 to 2020 from the four dimensions of digital empowerment infrastructure, digital media, digital transactions, and digital economic transaction products. Based on this, this paper empirically tested the driving role and impact law of the digital economy on regional innovation capacity by constructing a two-way fixed-effect model and a threshold model.
The results of this study showed that the digital economy added value of various provincial-level regions in China has shown a trend of continuous increase and the growth rate has been accelerating. There are significant regional differences in the scale of digital economy development in China, with the scale of digital economy development in the eastern region significantly larger than that in the central and western regions. The industrial structure of the digital economy in China is not balanced. Although the proportion of added value from digital media and digital transactions in the total added value of the digital economy is continuously increasing, the added value of digital empowerment infrastructure is still the main contribution to the digital economy in various regions. The digital economy can significantly promote the improvement of regional innovation capacity. It has become an important driving factor for regional innovation, and to a certain extent, changes the influence law of innovation factors on innovation capacity. The digital economy has a significant nonlinear and differentiated impact on regional innovation capabilities, and there exist two thresholds for the scale of digital economic development. As the scale of the digital economy continues to grow, the promotion effect of the digital economy on regional innovation capacity shows a non-linear characteristic law of decreasing marginal effect and then increasing marginal effect.
Finally, in order to further promote the rapid development of the digital economy and strengthen the empowering role of the digital economy on regional innovation capacity, this paper proposed corresponding countermeasures from three aspects: optimizing the industrial structure of the digital economy, implementing differentiated development strategies for regional digital economy, and improving the quality of investment in innovative manpower and capital.
This paper has filled the gap and made up for the deficiencies in the measurement of the digital economy scale at the regional level in China′s existing research. This paper systematically calculated the development of the digital economy in 31 provincial-level regions in China in the past 14 years from the perspective of the added value of the digital economy industry. It can more intuitively examine the development scale of the digital economy in various regions and the changes in the status of the digital economy in the national economy.
At the same time, this paper, for the first time, explored the driving role and influencing law of the digital economy on regional innovation capacity from the perspective of the development scale of the digital economy. This paper will enrich the research on relevant innovation theories and has practical significance for understanding the development of the regional digital economy in China and promoting high-quality development of the digital economy.
Key words:digital economy; development scale; regional innovation; threshold model
引用本文：苏屹，支鹏飞，郭秀芳.区域数字经济规模测算及其对区域创新的影响[J].科研管理,2023,44(9):29-38.
转自：“科研管理”微信公众号
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